Deportivo Riestra 2-0 River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
56%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY River Plate EU Bookmakers 66%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
0.86/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.08
-45% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +32%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
21.0 Crosses 18.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY River Plate
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.68 xG 2.97
29% Ball Possession 71%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 3
124 Passes 398
61% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 34
9 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-3 HT 0-3 River Plate River Plate ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
2-0
AWAY River Plate
1.37 xG 1.45
23% Ball Possession 77%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
88 Passes 533
45% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra saw off River Plate 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had River Plate at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 23% of the ball to River Plate's 77%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.37 to 1.45.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs River Plate?

Deportivo Riestra 2-0 River Plate in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated an River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 20%, draw 24%, River Plate 56%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (River Plate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (River Plate) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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