Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Barracas Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 26% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
12%
3.64
X/2
10%
11.4
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
10%
9.35
2/X
8%
17.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Barracas Central EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +0%
1.53/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.36
+6% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 66%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
24.4 Crosses 15.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Barracas Central
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.61 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
208 Passes 248
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-0 HT 0-0 Barracas Central Barracas Central ARJ
24.10.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
27.02.2023 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
29.09.2022 Barracas Central Barracas Central 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2-1
AWAY Barracas Central
2.39 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
247 Passes 307
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
35 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata squeezed past Barracas Central 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnasia La Plata as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 46% of the ball to Barracas Central's 54%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 2.39 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gimnasia La Plata and 0.75 for Barracas Central.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central?

Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Barracas Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 50%, draw 24%, Barracas Central 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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