Independiente 2-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
15%
5.57
6+ Goals
10%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.71
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.15
X/1
20%
4.0
X/2
12%
7.85
X/X
13%
3.65
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
9%
6.94
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
1.36/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.24
-10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 71%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.2 Crosses 18.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Banfield
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 0.95
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
342 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Banfield Banfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
13.11.2023 Independiente Independiente 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
27.02.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
17.10.2022 Independiente Independiente 1-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
01.12.2021 Banfield Banfield 4-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Independiente ARJ
07.12.2019 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
2-1
AWAY Banfield
1.74 xG 1.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
210 Passes 194
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente nicked a narrow win over Banfield 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente had 52% of the ball to Banfield's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.74 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Independiente and 0.83 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Banfield?

Independiente 2-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Independiente 46%, draw 28%, Banfield 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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