Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 29% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.71
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.1
X/1
25%
3.56
X/2
8%
15.75
X/X
11%
5.5
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
7%
13.5
2/X
6%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Argentinos Juniors EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +13%
1.74/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.56
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
25.9 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Argentinos Juniors
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.39 xG 0.58
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
408 Passes 146
77% Pass Accuracy 56%
27 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.02.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-0 HT 1-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
02.07.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-2 HT 0-0 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors ARJ
02.08.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 1-1 HT 0-1 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
11.04.2021 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
21.09.2019 Argentinos Juniors Argentinos Juniors 3-1 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Argentinos Juniors
2-1
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
0.49 xG 0.20
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
318 Passes 314
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Argentinos Juniors vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Argentinos Juniors nicked a narrow win over Central Cordoba Santiago 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Argentinos Juniors as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Argentinos Juniors had 50% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 50%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.49 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Argentinos Juniors had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Argentinos Juniors and 0.80 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Argentinos Juniors vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Argentinos Juniors vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Argentinos Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Argentinos Juniors 57%, draw 23%, Central Cordoba Santiago 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Argentinos Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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