Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Wilstermann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.26/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/0.97
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +56%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 72%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
19.9 Crosses 14.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Wilstermann
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.17 xG 0.85
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
270 Passes 297
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
18.05.2025 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-2 HT 0-1 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
19.12.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
14.09.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
23.08.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
09.04.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
18.09.2022 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario de Vinto
1-1
AWAY Wilstermann
2.27 xG 0.83
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
326 Passes 97
87% Pass Accuracy 60%
29 Box Touches 5
31 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitario de Vinto vs Wilstermann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario de Vinto and Wilstermann couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Universitario de Vinto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Universitario de Vinto had 69% of the ball to Wilstermann's 31%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.27 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Universitario de Vinto and 0.50 for Wilstermann.

What was the final score of Universitario de Vinto vs Wilstermann?

Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Wilstermann in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario de Vinto vs Wilstermann?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario de Vinto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Universitario de Vinto 43%, draw 29%, Wilstermann 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Universitario de Vinto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitario de Vinto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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