Bragantino 2-2 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Sep 2025

Bragantino
2-2 HT 1-0
Santos
📅29/09/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Bragantino vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.6
Over 2.5
47%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
10%
4.83
X/2
8%
6.55
X/X
16%
3.9
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
14%
5.14
2/X
4%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bragantino v Santos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bragantino EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.19/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.41
+17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.8 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bragantino vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bragantino
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santos
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
378 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.04.2025 Santos Santos 1-2 HT 0-0 Bragantino BR1
20.10.2023 Santos Santos 1-3 HT 0-2 Bragantino BR1
29.05.2023 Bragantino 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BR1
18.10.2022 Bragantino 0-2 HT 0-0 Santos Santos BR1
19.06.2022 Santos Santos 2-2 HT 2-1 Bragantino BR1
11.11.2021 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 1-0 Bragantino BR1

Bragantino 2-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bragantino
2-2
AWAY Santos
0.53 xG 1.39
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
265 Passes 437
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bragantino vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bragantino and Santos couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bragantino at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Bragantino had 41% of the ball to Santos's 59%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.53 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bragantino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bragantino and 1.33 for Santos.

What was the final score of Bragantino vs Santos?

Bragantino 2-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bragantino vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bragantino win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bragantino 43%, draw 28%, Santos 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bragantino), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bragantino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
29 Sep 2025
02:30 Corinthians vs Flamengo Analysis →