Corinthians vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Corinthians v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals
Corinthians vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Flamengo
BR1
Corinthians 1-2 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo squeezed past Corinthians 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Corinthians had 48% of the ball to Flamengo's 52%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.47 to 0.72 — on chances, Corinthians could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Corinthians and 1.50 for Flamengo.
What was the final score of Corinthians vs Flamengo?
Corinthians 1-2 Flamengo in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Flamengo?
Before kick-off our model rated an Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Corinthians 25%, draw 27%, Flamengo 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.