Santos vs Bragantino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Bragantino — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Bragantino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Bragantino
BR1
Santos
BR1
Santos
BR1
2-2
HT 2-1
Bragantino
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Bragantino
BR1
Santos
BR1
Santos 1-2 Bragantino — Actual Match Statistics
Bragantino edged past Santos 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Santos at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos had 54% of the ball to Bragantino's 46%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.10 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santos and 1.50 for Bragantino.
What was the final score of Santos vs Bragantino?
Santos 1-2 Bragantino in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Bragantino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santos 43%, draw 26%, Bragantino 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.