Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Palmeiras v Bahia — Team-Based Signals
Palmeiras vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Bahia
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Palmeiras
BR1
3-2
HT 1-1
Bahia
BR1
Palmeiras 0-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia nicked a narrow win over Palmeiras 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Palmeiras had 50% of the ball to Bahia's 50%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.35 to 0.57 — on chances, Palmeiras could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Palmeiras and 0.67 for Bahia.
What was the final score of Palmeiras vs Bahia?
Palmeiras 0-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Bahia?
Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 54%, draw 25%, Bahia 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5 went the other way.