Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
Cruzeiro 1-0 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro squeezed past Vasco da Gama 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cruzeiro as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 43% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 57%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.91 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.67 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro 1-0 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 48%, draw 29%, Vasco da Gama 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruzeiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.