Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruzeiro v Vasco da Gama — Team-Based Signals
Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Vasco da Gama
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Cruzeiro
BR1
3-0
HT 1-0
Vasco da Gama
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Cruzeiro
BR2
Cruzeiro 1-1 Vasco da Gama — Actual Match Statistics
Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Cruzeiro at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, Cruzeiro had 56% of the ball to Vasco da Gama's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.81 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruzeiro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.67 for Vasco da Gama.
What was the final score of Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Cruzeiro 1-1 Vasco da Gama in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Vasco da Gama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruzeiro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cruzeiro 47%, draw 27%, Vasco da Gama 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cruzeiro), BTTS No went the other way.