Bahia vs Criciuma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahia v Criciuma — Team-Based Signals
Bahia vs Criciuma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Bahia
BR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Criciuma
BR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Criciuma
BR2
Bahia 1-0 Criciuma — Actual Match Statistics
Bahia nicked a narrow win over Criciuma 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Bahia had 54% of the ball to Criciuma's 46%, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 2.59 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bahia's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bahia and 0.50 for Criciuma.
What was the final score of Bahia vs Criciuma?
Bahia 1-0 Criciuma in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Criciuma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bahia 50%, draw 26%, Criciuma 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.