Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Flamengo v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
0-2
HT 0-1
Flamengo
BRK
2-1
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BRK
2-1
HT 1-1
Flamengo
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Paranaense
LKU
Flamengo 1-0 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Flamengo edged past Atletico Paranaense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Flamengo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Flamengo had 70% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 30%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 0.76 to 0.40.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Flamengo and 1.17 for Atletico Paranaense.
What was the final score of Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Flamengo 1-0 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie A on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Flamengo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Flamengo 46%, draw 26%, Atletico Paranaense 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flamengo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.