Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.03
No
47%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
55%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 27%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.21
+46% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
1-1
AWAY Volga Ulyanovsk
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Volga Ulyanovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma and Volga Ulyanovsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Kostroma at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 50% of the ball to Volga Ulyanovsk's 50%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Volga Ulyanovsk in the Russia - FNL on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 50%, draw 26%, Volga Ulyanovsk 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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