Ural 1-2 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
67%
-3.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.0pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 15%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
2.04/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.63
+27% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
1W-2D-0L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
382 Passes 274
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 3-3 HT 2-2 Ural Ural RUS1
17.03.2018 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 0-3 HT 0-1 Ural Ural RUS
11.09.2017 Ural Ural 1-1 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
1-2
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ural vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk edged past Ural 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Ural carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ural had 57% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 43%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ural and 1.33 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Ural vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Ural 1-2 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Ural 63%, draw 21%, SKA Khabarovsk 16%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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