Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
0-0
HT 0-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
1-0
HT 1-0
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
Neftekhimik edged past Arsenal Tula 1-0 in the Russia - FNL on 29 Sep 2025.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Neftekhimik had 36% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 64%, shots finished 15-13.
Across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours are even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Neftekhimik and 0.80 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Arsenal Tula?
Neftekhimik 1-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 32%, draw 26%, Arsenal Tula 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arsenal Tula), BTTS Yes went the other way.