Cuiaba 0-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Oct 2024

Cuiaba
0-1 HT 0-1
Corinthians
📅29/10/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2024

Cuiaba vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.69
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.97
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
11%
5.97
X/2
8%
4.62
X/X
15%
3.55
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.47
2/X
10%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
33%
Away Win
39%
-6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.1pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cuiaba v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.16/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.11
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.4 Crosses 20.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Cuiaba vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Corinthians
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
311 Passes 469
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.06.2024 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
26.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 0-1 HT 0-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
11.06.2023 Corinthians Corinthians 1-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
02.10.2022 Corinthians Corinthians 2-0 HT 2-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
08.06.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Corinthians Corinthians BR1
14.11.2021 Corinthians Corinthians 3-2 HT 1-1 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1

Cuiaba 0-1 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
0-1
AWAY Corinthians
0.33 xG 1.26
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
380 Passes 291
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Corinthians nicked a narrow win over Cuiaba 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Corinthians found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cuiaba had 56% of the ball to Corinthians's 44%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.33 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cuiaba and 1.33 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Corinthians?

Cuiaba 0-1 Corinthians in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 36%, draw 31%, Corinthians 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cuiaba) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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