Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.29
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
5.0
X/2
8%
6.4
X/X
16%
4.15
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.82
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.8
Value flag · 2/X at 13.8 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.02/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.19
-32% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +37%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
16.5 Crosses 20.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Galway United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.13 xG 0.63
71% Ball Possession 29%
15 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
508 Passes 151
82% Pass Accuracy 59%
24 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
30.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
04.04.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
16.09.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-2 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
25.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
26.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-0
AWAY Galway United
0.67 xG 0.77
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
614 Passes 201
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers nicked a narrow win over Galway United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 71% of the ball to Galway United's 29%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.67 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United?

Shamrock Rovers 1-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 45%, draw 31%, Galway United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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