Inter 3-0 Fiorentina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.37
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.29
Over
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
22%
4.54
2-3
41%
1.9
4-5
24%
2.78
6+
13%
7.61
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.54 — our 22% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.63
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
18.0
X/1
20%
3.93
X/2
6%
15.25
X/X
11%
7.22
2/1
9%
20.75
2/2
6%
12.5
2/X
4%
20.7
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina The Market 16%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.08 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.13
0.88 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.90
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Great
Average Defensevs comparable teams Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
432 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
33.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
24.0 Crosses 15.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.25 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 362
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2025 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 1-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
28.01.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
03.09.2023 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
24.05.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTK
01.04.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
22.10.2022 Fiorentina Fiorentina 3-4 HT 1-2 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
3-0
AWAY Fiorentina
2.63 xG 0.69
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
488 Passes 258
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Inter vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter cruised past Fiorentina 3-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Inter had 64% of the ball to Fiorentina's 36%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.63 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter and 1.00 for Fiorentina.

Inter vs Fiorentina Result & Final Score

Inter 3-0 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Fiorentina Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Inter 63%, draw 20%, Fiorentina 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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