Nantes 3-5 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 29 Oct 2025

Nantes
3-5 HT 2-2
Monaco
📅29/10/2025 · 🕒23:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Nantes vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.07
Over
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.69
No
48%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.86
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
22%
3.05
6+
12%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
7.17
1/2 ✗
10%
21.55
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
11%
9.47
X/2
15%
4.34
X/X
7%
5.6
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
24%
2.18
2/X
8%
14.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.55 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Nantes v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantes The Market 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco The Market 58%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.40/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.21
+3% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -24%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 463 · 84%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.8 Crosses 18.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Nantes vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantes
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Monaco
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.96 xG 2.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
298 Passes 491
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.02.2025 Monaco Monaco 7-1 HT 2-1 Nantes Nantes FR1
10.01.2025 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
19.05.2024 Monaco Monaco 4-0 HT 3-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
25.08.2023 Nantes Nantes 3-3 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
09.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 0-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
02.10.2022 Monaco Monaco 4-1 HT 3-0 Nantes Nantes FR1

Nantes 3-5 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantes
3-5
AWAY Monaco
1.62 xG 4.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 3
286 Passes 328
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 37
13 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 7
REVIEW Nantes vs Monaco
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monaco got the better of Nantes 5-3 on their travels. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 8 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 51% and both teams to score at 52%. At 1.68 (~60%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

By the numbers, Nantes had 48% of the ball to Monaco's 52%, shots finished 18-19, expected goals 1.62 to 4.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nantes and 3.67 for Monaco.

Nantes vs Monaco Result & Final Score

Nantes 3-5 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Nantes vs Monaco Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nantes 29%, draw 22%, Monaco 49%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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