Monaco 7-1 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.23
Over Pick
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.69
No
42%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.36
2-3
33%
1.87
4-5
32%
2.81
6+
14%
7.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.4
X/1
19%
4.11
X/2
6%
11.45
X/X
7%
6.45
2/1
11%
20.1
2/2
11%
8.81
2/X
9%
17.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.1 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes The Market 21%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.84/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.75
+7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
18.2 Crosses 14.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Nantes
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.22 xG 0.97
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
464 Passes 301
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2025 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
19.05.2024 Monaco Monaco 4-0 HT 3-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
25.08.2023 Nantes Nantes 3-3 HT 2-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
09.04.2023 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 0-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
02.10.2022 Monaco Monaco 4-1 HT 3-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
02.03.2022 Nantes Nantes 2-2 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
7-1
AWAY Nantes
4.44 xG 1.46
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
537 Passes 260
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
53 Box Touches 11
28 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Monaco vs Nantes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Monaco made light work of Nantes 7-1. Half-time: 2-1. A 8-goal game — the defences never settled.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 65% to 35% in Monaco's favour, shots finished 22-6, expected goals 4.44 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.83 a game for Monaco against 1.67 for Nantes.

Monaco vs Nantes Result & Final Score

Monaco 7-1 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Monaco vs Nantes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Monaco 54%, draw 23%, Nantes 23%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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