Toulouse vs PSG Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toulouse v PSG — Team-Based Signals
Toulouse vs PSG Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toulouse 0-1 PSG — Actual Match Statistics
PSG found just enough to beat Toulouse 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
As we said in the preview, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — no to both teams scoring (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Toulouse had 23% of the ball to PSG's 77%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 0.88 to 2.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold PSG's control.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Toulouse and 2.00 for PSG.
Toulouse vs PSG Result & Final Score
Toulouse 0-1 PSG in the France - Ligue 1 on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toulouse vs PSG Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 24%, draw 25%, PSG 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.