Newroz vs Erbil Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newroz v Erbil — Team-Based Signals
Newroz vs Erbil Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Erbil edged past Newroz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Erbil made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newroz had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Newroz and 0.00 for Erbil.
What was the final score of Newroz vs Erbil?
Newroz 0-1 Erbil in the Iraq - Premier League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newroz vs Erbil?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newroz 37%, draw 27%, Erbil 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newroz), BTTS Yes went the other way.