Ajka 2-1 Tiszakecske — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiszakecske EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -91% / -70%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Tiszakecske
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2025 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 2-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.05.2024 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 2-1 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
05.11.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
01.11.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajka Ajka MACK
09.04.2023 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske 1-3 HT 0-3 Ajka Ajka MAC2
09.10.2022 Ajka Ajka 1-1 HT 0-0 Tiszakecske Tiszakecske MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
2-1
AWAY Tiszakecske
53% Ball Possession 47%
25 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Tiszakecske
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka squeezed past Tiszakecske 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Ajka found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Ajka had 53% of the ball to Tiszakecske's 47%, shots finished 25-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tiszakecske led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajka and 1.17 for Tiszakecske.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Tiszakecske?

Ajka 2-1 Tiszakecske in the Hungary - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Tiszakecske?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ajka 38%, draw 26%, Tiszakecske 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajka), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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