Sporting Braga 5-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - League Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.03
No
46%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
45%
+8.8pp
46%
BTTS No
55%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 23%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.75/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+6% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +136% / -23%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.08 xG 1.29
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
481 Passes 215
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
22.12.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
14.05.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 5-3 HT 3-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
05.01.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-4 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
28.02.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
20.11.2021 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 6-0 HT 3-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
5-0
AWAY Santa Clara
1.40 xG 0.65
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 2
549 Passes 298
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga swept aside Santa Clara 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting Braga had 63% of the ball to Santa Clara's 37%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.40 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.67 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara?

Sporting Braga 5-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - League Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 55%, draw 25%, Santa Clara 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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