Sporting Braga 1-1 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 May 2025

📅03/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.42
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
11%
15.0
X/1
20%
4.15
X/2
12%
8.89
X/X
8%
4.37
2/1
8%
27.5
2/2
9%
7.69
2/X
9%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 24%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -23%
1.89/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.26
+26% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +20%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 71%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
22.1 Crosses 17.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Santa Clara
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.96 xG 1.46
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
466 Passes 237
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
14.05.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 5-3 HT 3-1 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
05.01.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 0-4 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
28.02.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 0-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
20.11.2021 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 6-0 HT 3-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POK
26.09.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
1-1
AWAY Santa Clara
1.30 xG 0.59
68% Ball Possession 32%
17 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
524 Passes 227
89% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 8
47 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga and Santa Clara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Braga had 68% of the ball to Santa Clara's 32%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.30 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.67 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara?

Sporting Braga 1-1 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 45%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Braga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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