Farense vs Famalicao Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farense v Famalicao — Team-Based Signals
Farense vs Famalicao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Farense
POR
3-3
HT 2-0
Famalicao
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Farense
POR2
Farense 2-1 Famalicao — Actual Match Statistics
Farense edged past Famalicao 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Farense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Farense had 47% of the ball to Famalicao's 53%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.78 to 0.94.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Famalicao led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Farense and 1.33 for Famalicao.
What was the final score of Farense vs Famalicao?
Farense 2-1 Famalicao in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farense vs Famalicao?
Before kick-off our model rated an Famalicao win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Farense 35%, draw 27%, Famalicao 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.