Radnik Surdulica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Cup, 29 Oct 2025

📅29/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
50%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.2pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.2pp
50%
Away Win
43%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+55% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
1W-1D-2L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.40 xG 1.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 286
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.09.2025 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
01.05.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 5-2 HT 3-2 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
16.03.2024 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
06.10.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd edged past Radnik Surdulica 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had IMT Novi Beograd as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 1.75 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Radnik Surdulica 0-1 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Cup on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated an IMT Novi Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 31%, draw 19%, IMT Novi Beograd 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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