Uganda Police 2-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 29 Oct 2025

Uganda Police
2-1 HT 2-1
Maroons
📅29/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2025/2026

Uganda Police vs Maroons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.5pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uganda Police v Maroons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uganda Police EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.87/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-7% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Uganda Police vs Maroons Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uganda Police
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Maroons
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.12.2024 Uganda Police Uganda Police 1-2 HT 1-1 Maroons Maroons UGA

Uganda Police 2-1 Maroons — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uganda Police
2-1
AWAY Maroons
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Uganda Police vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uganda Police nicked a narrow win over Maroons 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Uganda Police made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Uganda Police had 50% of the ball to Maroons's 50%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Maroons?

Uganda Police 2-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 29/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 39%, draw 26%, Maroons 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uganda Police) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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