First Vienna 0-1 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
13%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
23.4
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
9%
7.61
X/2
18%
4.59
X/X
8%
5.13
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.65
2/X
11%
13.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.4 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
47%
Away Win
47%
-0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 51%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.85/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.71
-32% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +84%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
Crosses 26.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Ried
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 2-1 HT 2-1 Ried Ried AU2
20.10.2023 Ried Ried 4-1 HT 1-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
06.12.2022 Ried Ried 6-1 First Vienna First Vienna HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
0-1
AWAY Ried
46% Ball Possession 54%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried edged past First Vienna 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, First Vienna had 46% of the ball to Ried's 54%, shots finished 3-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for First Vienna and 3.67 for Ried.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Ried?

First Vienna 0-1 Ried in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 27%, draw 26%, Ried 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ried) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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