St. Pölten 3-0 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.42
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
30%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.96
Over 2.5
50%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
7.02
2-3 Goals
40%
2.2
4-5 Goals
23%
2.5
6+ Goals
10%
4.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
18.15
X/1
14%
3.94
X/2
11%
15.15
X/X
8%
8.41
2/1
7%
18.8
2/2
13%
9.89
2/X
7%
18.05
Value flag · 1/X at 18.15 — our 11% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
66%
-22.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.0pp
30%
Away Win
15%
+15.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
30%
+19.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
70%
-19.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.0pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 18%
-11% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
0.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.70
-28% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 64%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.8
26.0 Crosses 9.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Lafnitz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
04.08.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-0 HT 1-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
31.03.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 2-2 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
04.11.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
10.04.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-1 HT 1-1 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
17.09.2021 Lafnitz Lafnitz 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
3-0
AWAY Lafnitz
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten cruised past Lafnitz 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, St. Pölten had 44% of the ball to Lafnitz's 56%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Pölten and 0.83 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Lafnitz?

St. Pölten 3-0 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 44%, draw 26%, Lafnitz 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✗ BTTS Yes
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