Spartak Varna 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.8
Over 2.5
34%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.76
No
62%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+14.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-14.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
53%
-14.9pp
62%
BTTS No
47%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 33%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.42/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.34
+28% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Varna
0W-2D-0L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.07.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
03.05.2023 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-3 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Varna
1-1
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Varna and CSKA 1948 Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Spartak Varna had 48% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 52%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Spartak Varna and 2.50 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Spartak Varna 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Varna vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Spartak Varna 40%, draw 25%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Varna), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Varna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
29 Nov 2024
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