Polonya (K) 1-0 Avusturya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship Qualifiers, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
50%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonya (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.64/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.33
-41% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
16.2 Crosses 27.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonya (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Avusturya (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.60 xG 1.97
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
221 Passes 275
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2024 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) KAVŞE
09.04.2024 Polonya (K) Polonya (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Avusturya (K) Avusturya (K) KAVŞE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonya (K)
1-0
AWAY Avusturya (K)
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonya (K) vs Avusturya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonya (K) nicked a narrow win over Avusturya (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Avusturya (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Polonya (K) had 35% of the ball to Avusturya (K)'s 65%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Avusturya (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polonya (K) and 3.00 for Avusturya (K).

What was the final score of Polonya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Polonya (K) 1-0 Avusturya (K) in the European Women's Championship Qualifiers on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonya (K) vs Avusturya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avusturya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Polonya (K) 24%, draw 26%, Avusturya (K) 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Avusturya (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avusturya (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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