Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 29 Nov 2024

📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
15%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.17/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.35
-11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.07.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
01.04.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
16.09.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-1 HT 0-1 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
11.03.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 HT 1-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL2
11.08.2022 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 0-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-1
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 24
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow nicked a narrow win over Polonia Warszawa 2-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Znicz Pruszkow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 35% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 65%, shots finished 9-24.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Znicz Pruszkow had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 0.20 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Znicz Pruszkow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 40%, draw 23%, Polonia Warszawa 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Znicz Pruszkow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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