Carlisle United 2-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Nov 2025

Carlisle United
2-1 HT 1-1
Tamworth
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Carlisle United vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
64%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.29
Over
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.69
No
44%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
22%
4.5
2-3
38%
1.88
4-5
26%
2.75
6+
14%
7.49
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.5 — our 22% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.81
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.15
X/1
21%
4.14
X/2
6%
12.6
X/X
8%
6.8
2/1
12%
20.35
2/2
6%
9.77
2/X
7%
18.2
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Carlisle United v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carlisle United The Market 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth The Market 20%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
2.48 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.78
0.74 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.29
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
249 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7

Carlisle United vs Tamworth Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carlisle United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
The Meetings
27.11.2010 Carlisle United Carlisle United 3-2 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth FAK

Carlisle United 2-1 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carlisle United
2-1
AWAY Tamworth
61% Ball Possession 39%
26 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Carlisle United vs Tamworth
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carlisle United came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Tamworth 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carlisle United as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came home.

Under the surface, Carlisle United had 61% of the ball to Tamworth's 39%, shots finished 26-6.

Carlisle United vs Tamworth Result & Final Score

Carlisle United 2-1 Tamworth in the England - National League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Carlisle United vs Tamworth Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 64%, draw 20%, Tamworth 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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