Sutton United 4-2 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.61
Over Pick
61%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.48
No
42%
2.45
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.68
2-3
42%
2.03
4-5
23%
2.5
6+
13%
5.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
2.03
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.2
X/1
19%
4.57
X/2
10%
10.4
X/X
10%
7.01
2/1
5%
18.8
2/2
9%
7.03
2/X
6%
15.45
Value flag · X/2 at 10.4 — our 10% vs market 6.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United The Market 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead The Market 24%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
1.68 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.36
1.24 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.65
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gateshead
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2025 Gateshead Gateshead 4-3 HT 2-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
23.10.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
16.03.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 4-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
17.11.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
06.01.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
09.09.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
4-2
AWAY Gateshead
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Sutton United vs Gateshead
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Sutton United put daylight between themselves and Gateshead 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

The match data tells the story: possession split 62% to 38% in Sutton United's favour, shots finished 20-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Sutton United against 1.33 for Gateshead.

Sutton United vs Gateshead Result & Final Score

Sutton United 4-2 Gateshead in the England - National League on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Sutton United vs Gateshead Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 58%, draw 19%, Gateshead 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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