Gateshead 4-3 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Feb 2025

Gateshead
4-3 HT 2-1
Sutton United
📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Gateshead vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.84
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
9.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 27% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
15%
8.14
X/X
12%
5.38
2/1
7%
21.7
2/2
10%
5.84
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.96/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.99
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +52%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gateshead vs Sutton United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sutton United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.10.2024 Sutton United Sutton United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
16.03.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 4-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
17.11.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
06.01.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
09.09.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
14.04.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL

Gateshead 4-3 Sutton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
4-3
AWAY Sutton United
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
2 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead edged past Sutton United 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gateshead had 61% of the ball to Sutton United's 39%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gateshead and 1.67 for Sutton United.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Sutton United?

Gateshead 4-3 Sutton United in the England - National League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 43%, draw 25%, Sutton United 33%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead)
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