Sutton United 0-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Oct 2024

Sutton United
0-1 HT 0-0
Gateshead
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Sutton United vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.18
Over 2.5
46%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
4.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
20%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 31% vs market 18.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.04
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
12%
6.29
X/2
13%
5.18
X/X
8%
5.38
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
16%
3.09
2/X
7%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sutton United v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -15%
1.78/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.67
+29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
145 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sutton United vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gateshead
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
16.03.2019 Sutton United Sutton United 4-2 HT 0-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
17.11.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
06.01.2018 Gateshead Gateshead 0-2 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
09.09.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 1-1 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
14.04.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 3-0 HT 1-0 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
03.09.2016 Gateshead Gateshead 1-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL

Sutton United 0-1 Gateshead — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
0-1
AWAY Gateshead
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
0 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead squeezed past Sutton United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gateshead found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Sutton United had 43% of the ball to Gateshead's 57%, shots finished 6-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sutton United and 0.67 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Gateshead?

Sutton United 0-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 40%, draw 25%, Gateshead 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sutton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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