Altrincham 1-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 31% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.91
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
13%
4.86
X/2
16%
6.83
X/X
11%
4.88
2/1
12%
24.45
2/2
11%
4.69
2/X
8%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
2.19/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.48
+47% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
78 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 89 · 94%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
19.09.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 2-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
09.03.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.10.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
1-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham and Hartlepool United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Altrincham had 54% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 46%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Altrincham and 1.75 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Hartlepool United?

Altrincham 1-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 40%, draw 26%, Hartlepool United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Altrincham), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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