Wealdstone 3-2 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 33% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.4
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
16%
4.85
X/2
14%
5.7
X/X
11%
4.43
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
10%
4.25
2/X
7%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / -9%
1.75/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.97
+22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
3-2
AWAY Braintree Town
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone nicked a narrow win over Braintree Town 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wealdstone as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wealdstone had 56% of the ball to Braintree Town's 44%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Braintree Town?

Wealdstone 3-2 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wealdstone win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 41%, draw 27%, Braintree Town 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wealdstone) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wealdstone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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