Boston United 1-2 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 30% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.42
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
12%
12.55
X/1
9%
5.53
X/2
11%
5.91
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
17%
3.76
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 38%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -20%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/2.04
-31% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -33%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
103 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 89 · 94%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2023 Boston United Boston United 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
22.11.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 4-1 HT 1-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
23.04.2022 Boston United Boston United 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
21.08.2021 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
19.12.2020 Boston United Boston United 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde FAK
28.11.2020 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
POST-MATCH Boston United vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde edged past Boston United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day AFC Fylde made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Boston United and 2.00 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Boston United vs AFC Fylde?

Boston United 1-2 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boston United 37%, draw 28%, AFC Fylde 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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