Hartlepool United 1-2 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.23
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.6
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2
10%
6.38
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
13%
4.29
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 1/X at 12.6 — our 12% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-1.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
1.27/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.65
-12% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
98 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 114 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Altrincham
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
20.02.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
19.09.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 2-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
09.03.2021 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 1-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.10.2020 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 1-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-2
AWAY Altrincham
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Passes 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham nicked a narrow win over Hartlepool United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 30%) promised a tight game; Altrincham found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 46% of the ball to Altrincham's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.40 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Altrincham?

Hartlepool United 1-2 Altrincham in the England - National League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 39%, draw 31%, Altrincham 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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