Barnet 3-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.77
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
16%
4.88
X/2
11%
6.72
X/X
13%
4.27
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
12%
5.05
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.62/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.61
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
2W-1D-3L
AWAY York City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2024 York City York City 3-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
24.02.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
26.09.2023 York City York City 2-4 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
03.04.2023 York City York City 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
01.10.2022 Barnet Barnet 0-5 HT 0-2 York City York City İBSL
12.03.2016 York City York City 1-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
3-1
AWAY York City
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
2 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet got the better of York City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barnet had 57% of the ball to York City's 43%, shots finished 13-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Barnet and 2.00 for York City.

What was the final score of Barnet vs York City?

Barnet 3-1 York City in the England - National League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barnet 45%, draw 26%, York City 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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