York City 3-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.19
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 31% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.6
1/2
10%
27.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.63
X/2
16%
5.63
X/X
13%
4.98
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
10%
3.6
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.48
-1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Barnet
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-0 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
26.09.2023 York City York City 2-4 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
03.04.2023 York City York City 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
01.10.2022 Barnet Barnet 0-5 HT 0-2 York City York City İBSL
12.03.2016 York City York City 1-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İN2
17.10.2015 Barnet Barnet 3-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
3-1
AWAY Barnet
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH York City vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City got the better of Barnet 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; York City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York City had 51% of the ball to Barnet's 49%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for York City and 1.67 for Barnet.

What was the final score of York City vs Barnet?

York City 3-1 Barnet in the England - National League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split York City 38%, draw 27%, Barnet 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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