Forest Green Rovers 3-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Oct 2024

Forest Green Rovers
3-1 HT 1-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Forest Green Rovers vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
20.55
X/1
19%
3.5
X/2
5%
17.0
X/X
7%
7.19
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
6%
13.3
2/X
5%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-5.8pp
19%
Draw
18%
+0.7pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Forest Green Rovers v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forest Green Rovers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
2.02/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.59
-7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
416 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Forest Green Rovers vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
30.03.2013 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-2 HT 0-1 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
04.09.2012 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 4-1 HT 4-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
06.04.2012 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 3-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
27.08.2011 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
23.01.2010 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 4-3 HT 1-2 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers İBSL
12.09.2009 Forest Green Rovers Forest Green Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Forest Green Rovers 3-1 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forest Green Rovers
3-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Forest Green Rovers vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forest Green Rovers saw off Ebbsfleet United 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Forest Green Rovers as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Forest Green Rovers had 61% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 39%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forest Green Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Forest Green Rovers and 1.17 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Forest Green Rovers vs Ebbsfleet United?

Forest Green Rovers 3-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forest Green Rovers vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forest Green Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Forest Green Rovers 65%, draw 19%, Ebbsfleet United 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Forest Green Rovers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Forest Green Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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