Maidenhead United 2-2 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.51
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
9%
6.47
X/2
21%
4.82
X/X
10%
4.94
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
2.99
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.06/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.76
-20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-3 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
03.10.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
15.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
08.10.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
2-2
AWAY Oldham Athletic
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
1 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United and Oldham Athletic couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 43% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 57%, shots finished 9-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.50 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic?

Maidenhead United 2-2 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 29%, draw 26%, Oldham Athletic 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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