Rochdale 2-1 Halifax Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 34% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.61
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
11%
14.95
X/1
7%
4.07
X/2
10%
7.43
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
16%
5.99
2/X
5%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
49%
-10.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Halifax Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.36/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.20
-16% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Halifax Town
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Halifax Town Halifax Town 2-2 HT 2-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
02.09.2023 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town İBSL
15.07.2014 Halifax Town Halifax Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale HAZ
05.03.2002 Halifax Town Halifax Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
25.09.2001 Rochdale Rochdale 2-0 HT 0-0 Halifax Town Halifax Town İN2
13.01.2001 Rochdale Rochdale 0-1 HT 0-1 Halifax Town Halifax Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
2-1
AWAY Halifax Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Halifax Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale squeezed past Halifax Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Rochdale found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 45% of the ball to Halifax Town's 55%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halifax Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rochdale and 1.17 for Halifax Town.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Halifax Town?

Rochdale 2-1 Halifax Town in the England - National League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Halifax Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 39%, draw 28%, Halifax Town 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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