Barnet 2-0 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 26% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
8%
3.97
X/2
13%
10.4
X/X
12%
5.48
2/1
12%
22.3
2/2
8%
7.81
2/X
9%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-11.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
1.77/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
+2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
393 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
3W-1D-2L
AWAY York City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.09.2023 York City York City 2-4 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
03.04.2023 York City York City 1-0 HT 1-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
01.10.2022 Barnet Barnet 0-5 HT 0-2 York City York City İBSL
12.03.2016 York City York City 1-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İN2
17.10.2015 Barnet Barnet 3-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İN2
16.02.2013 York City York City 1-2 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
2-0
AWAY York City
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Barnet vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet beat York City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barnet had 54% of the ball to York City's 46%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Barnet and 1.83 for York City.

What was the final score of Barnet vs York City?

Barnet 2-0 York City in the England - National League on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Barnet 46%, draw 28%, York City 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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