Oldham Athletic 0-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 33% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.91
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
22%
3.93
X/2
8%
11.5
X/X
12%
5.57
2/1
9%
23.0
2/2
10%
9.72
2/X
6%
18.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.5pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 20%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.84/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.74
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
176 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 110 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oldham Athletic
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 2-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
17.02.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-3 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
03.10.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
15.04.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
08.10.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-1 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oldham Athletic
0-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
0 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Oldham Athletic vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United nicked a narrow win over Oldham Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Oldham Athletic at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oldham Athletic had 65% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 35%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Oldham Athletic and 1.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Oldham Athletic vs Maidenhead United?

Oldham Athletic 0-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oldham Athletic vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oldham Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Oldham Athletic 52%, draw 25%, Maidenhead United 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Oldham Athletic) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oldham Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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