Yeovil 2-1 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
20.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.11
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
20%
4.72
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
14%
5.08
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.9pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +16%
1.01/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.09
-34% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tamworth
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 0-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
2-1
AWAY Tamworth
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 1
2 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil edged past Tamworth 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Yeovil as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeovil had 56% of the ball to Tamworth's 44%, shots finished 7-7.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Tamworth?

Yeovil 2-1 Tamworth in the England - National League on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 44%, draw 26%, Tamworth 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yeovil) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yeovil) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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